Posted by John Morrison on Feb 17, 2025

Introduction
Toyota New Zealand has long been a leader in the country’s automotive industry, consistently topping sales charts and championing hybrid technology. Andrew Davis, Vice President of Toyota New Zealand, was our guest speaker at our last Rotary meeting.  He gave us an interesting presentation outlining the company’s current market position, the rise of hybrid vehicles and the challenges posed by evolving government policies on carbon emissions and electric vehicles.

Toyota’s Market Dominance
For 37 consecutive years, Toyota has been the best-selling automotive brand in New Zealand, holding a 24.5% market share. Its success stems from a strong dealer network of 80 locations nationwide, providing customers easy access to vehicles and services. Unlike many other automotive distributors, Toyota New Zealand operates independently, allowing it to implement locally tailored strategies that respond to market demands.

As the industry transitions toward electrification and sustainable mobility, Toyota’s investments in hybrid, hydrogen, and motorsport innovation ensure it remains at the forefront of automotive excellence.

The Rise of Hybrid Vehicles
Toyota’s early commitment to hybrid technology has been a key factor in its success. In 2014, hybrid vehicles accounted for just 4% of the market, but by 2024, this figure had surged to 62%. In 2029, industry forecasts predict that hybrids will make up 29% of vehicle sales, electric vehicles 31%, and plug-in hybrids 16%, while internal combustion engine vehicles will decline to just 8%. Toyota’s foresight in promoting hybrid models has solidified its position as a leader in sustainable mobility.

Challenges in Emissions Policies
Davis emphasized the challenges posed by shifting government policies on emissions. Under the previous Labour government, strict CO2 regulations and financial penalties for high-emission vehicles influenced consumer and distributor decisions. However, after a change in government, demand for battery electric vehicles plummeted from 14% to 4%. These regulatory fluctuations make long-term planning difficult, as Toyota places vehicle orders up to three years in advance.

Additionally, with the average age of New Zealand’s vehicle fleet at 14.7 years, policymakers must address emissions from older vehicles still in use, further complicating the path toward carbon reduction.

Lexus Growth and Expansion
Toyota’s luxury division, Lexus, has also experienced growth, ranking as New Zealand’s second-best-selling luxury brand. The company continues to expand its dealership network with new locations in Botany, Wellington, and Christchurch. Lexus focuses on offering an exclusive retail experience to enhance customer engagement with its vehicles.

Political Landscape and Industry Challenges
Toyota faces ongoing difficulties due to shifting government policies that impact emissions regulations, electric vehicle incentives, and penalties for high-emission cars. Davis noted that while the automotive sector is frequently targeted for emissions reductions, agriculture remains New Zealand’s largest CO2 contributor. However, the automotive industry often receives more regulatory focus due to its high visibility and the relative ease of implementing policies.

The Future of Hydrogen and Electrification
Toyota invests heavily in hydrogen fuel cell technology as part of its broader sustainability strategy. Hydrogen fuel cells generate electricity by combining hydrogen and oxygen, producing only water as a byproduct. This technology has applications beyond passenger vehicles, including heavy transport and marine vessels.

A standout example of hydrogen’s potential is its use in America’s Cup chase boats, which achieve speeds of 50 knots using just 30 kilograms of hydrogen—a dramatic improvement from the 950 litres of petrol previously required. Toyota is also exploring hydrogen-powered trucks and generators to reduce diesel dependence in commercial industries.

However, challenges remain in hydrogen infrastructure, as different vehicles require varying pressure levels—700 bar for passenger cars and 350 bar for trucks. Despite this, Toyota sees hydrogen as a viable solution for trucking and commercial transport, where centralized refuelling stations make distribution more manageable.

Toyota’s Motorsport Legacy and the Road to Formula One
Toyota has been instrumental in motorsport development, particularly in supporting young talent. The Toyota Formula Regional Championship is a crucial stepping stone for aspiring Formula One drivers. Red Bull-backed driver Arvid Lindblad recently secured victory in this championship, earning 18 super license points—essential for an F1 debut.

Over the past two decades, 27 drivers from this program have progressed to Formula One, including Lando Norris, Lance Stroll, and Yuki Tsunoda. New Zealand’s strong motorsport infrastructure continues to produce elite talent, with Toyota playing a significant role in nurturing future champions.

Toyota is also working to increase female participation in motorsport. Efforts include modifying car weight and steering to make racing more inclusive. Toyota cars were previously used in the W Series, a women’s championship that raced alongside Formula One, highlighting its commitment to diversity in racing.

America’s Cup: Innovation and Economic Impact
Beyond land-based transportation, Toyota has long supported Team New Zealand in the America’s Cup, where technological advancements are key to success. The latest America’s Cup yachts feature cutting-edge foil technology, allowing them to reach 50 knots while minimizing drag.

However, hosting the America’s Cup in New Zealand presents financial challenges, requiring an estimated $150 million. This raises debates over government funding, though the economic benefits are significant. Even when the event is held overseas, New Zealand companies benefit from designing and producing critical components for competing teams, ensuring continued investment in local innovation.

Conclusion
Toyota New Zealand remains a leader in the automotive industry, leveraging its dealer network, hybrid technology, and adaptability to changing policies. The company faces ongoing emissions regulations, inventory planning, and long-term market forecasting challenges. As the industry transitions toward electrification and sustainable mobility, Toyota’s investments in hybrid, hydrogen, and motorsport innovation ensure it remains at the forefront of automotive excellence.

Thank you, Andrew, for an engaging and insightful presentation.